Post by ricky on Jul 16, 2019 1:43:35 GMT
Round 1 was a bit longer than usual and I think that really allowed us to get to know our cast and let them get to know each other outside of first and second day impressions. Things shifted a lot over the past few days. These are my thoughts on where everyone stands after the first round:
DRAGO
1. David: David is in the best spot in this tribe. Not only did he find the Drago idol, he has also made great connections with Jeff, Lamont, and Ashley. Spending 4 hours on a call with his tribe to prepare for the first challenge helped him a lot. What girl alliance? Everyone is partnering up with David right now. He came for redemption and might just get it. Really rooting for him right now. I hope he stops thinking about Jake and Jordan being in the game, if he overthinks it, it could cost him the game. Also, to my knowledge he has kept his idol a secret.
2. Jeff: I think Jeff started off on the wrong foot on the first night. He tried to sit back and observe. People were throwing his name left and right as the first Drago boot the first two days of the game. That quickly changed - he is now super tight with David and Lamont, and Ashley said in her confessional he is the one she trusts the most. His strategy of a team player is working. Brian from Palma should take note, THIS is how you play the "chill, don't want to talk too much strategy" game. He even gave his birdcage to Amber, he's not interested in powers. This is my winner pick right here and I think he's delivering so far.
3. Ashley:This girl is killing it. Everyone loves her and wants her around. She quickly realized the girl alliance led by Sophie was going nowhere and exited stage right. She has a solid alliance with David, Jeff, and Lamont, so she is safe for a few rounds. I honestly believe David and Jeff would keep her over Lamont if it came down to it.
4. Lamont: This tribe is so strong that even being fourth in this tribe is not a bad thing. Two people before you if you have to go to tribal council. I think his problem is that he comes off as a little calculated and scripted sometimes and some people are noticing.
5. Amber: She's 5th because Sophi is obviously 6th. That's all, plus she's still tight with Sophie, she doesnt know that's a sinking ship.
6. Queen Sophi: SO. MUCH. POTENTIAL. WASTED. We were all excited for Queen Sophi to play this game and wow, she has been nothing but messy. Made an alliance with everyone in her tribe and then they all exchanged notes. She wasn't the first boot because her tribe KILLED it at that challenge. Hope she reassess her situation soon and plays smarter.
2. Jeff: I think Jeff started off on the wrong foot on the first night. He tried to sit back and observe. People were throwing his name left and right as the first Drago boot the first two days of the game. That quickly changed - he is now super tight with David and Lamont, and Ashley said in her confessional he is the one she trusts the most. His strategy of a team player is working. Brian from Palma should take note, THIS is how you play the "chill, don't want to talk too much strategy" game. He even gave his birdcage to Amber, he's not interested in powers. This is my winner pick right here and I think he's delivering so far.
3. Ashley:This girl is killing it. Everyone loves her and wants her around. She quickly realized the girl alliance led by Sophie was going nowhere and exited stage right. She has a solid alliance with David, Jeff, and Lamont, so she is safe for a few rounds. I honestly believe David and Jeff would keep her over Lamont if it came down to it.
4. Lamont: This tribe is so strong that even being fourth in this tribe is not a bad thing. Two people before you if you have to go to tribal council. I think his problem is that he comes off as a little calculated and scripted sometimes and some people are noticing.
5. Amber: She's 5th because Sophi is obviously 6th. That's all, plus she's still tight with Sophie, she doesnt know that's a sinking ship.
6. Queen Sophi: SO. MUCH. POTENTIAL. WASTED. We were all excited for Queen Sophi to play this game and wow, she has been nothing but messy. Made an alliance with everyone in her tribe and then they all exchanged notes. She wasn't the first boot because her tribe KILLED it at that challenge. Hope she reassess her situation soon and plays smarter.
PALMA
1. Jennifer: This QUEEN got everyone in her tribe, except Brian, to send her their bird cages. She has 5!! So obviously she found a secret power, STEAL A VOTE, and might find the idol since no one else can go bird watching except Brian, who is usually M.I.A. Unfortunately, she told Jordan about her power right away. Hopefully it doesn't come back to bite her. She's also in an alliance with Jordan and Duke, that Kaylee knows nothing about. Jordan loves her, so he won't let her go, and she is nicely tucked away behind the big shield that is Jordan. I'm also here for all of Jennifer's comments on Kaylee. Jennifer is going to go very far and it's going to be fun watching her play this game.
2. Jordan: Jordan is playing really hard really fast and it is going to catch up to him at some point. Somehow he has Jennifer and his bro Duke trusting him and following him along. He has not been able to shut up about Jake, which is obviously going to be an issue for him at the swap or merge and I know the viewers can't wait for that reunion. He needs to tone it down a bit if he wants people to stick by him.
3. Duke: This guy legit just stumbled upon his alliance by being a bro and having Jordan there man crushing over him. He was M.I.A. all weekend, took an hour to complete his puzzle, and still found himself in the majority. If he's smart, he's going to hide behind Jordan and make it farther than him.
4. Kaylee: We LOVE to watch Kaylee play this game. And while the majority alliance keeps talking smack about Kaylee, they aren't getting rid of her before Sean or Brian, which means she's making it to the swap at least.
5. Brian: Yes, I think Brian is in a better position than Sean. Jordan, who thinks he's calling the shots wants to get rid of Sean before Brian, and I dont see Jennifer or Duke caring enough to say no. Brian has a strategy, he just isn't executing it right. He wants to lay low and not talk game before they have to go to tribal, but he's also not making the connections he needs nor situating himself correctly for when they do go to tribal. Even Jennifer told him he needed to be more talkative and engaging with the tribe, and he did nothing with that. Brian is the only one with a bird cage in hand, apart from Jennifer, so he could get the idol before Jennifer - that would be a twist.
6. Sean: I love Sean. He's really funny, strategic, and smart, I would ally with someone like him. Unfortunately, he is allying himself with Kaylee, and that is his biggest downfall. Jordan dislikes him for that and will make him the first boot of the tribe. Jordan is so concerned that Sean and Kaylee are scheming behind his back. If Sean can't get in with the Jordan/Duke/Jennifer crowd, he's done.
2. Jordan: Jordan is playing really hard really fast and it is going to catch up to him at some point. Somehow he has Jennifer and his bro Duke trusting him and following him along. He has not been able to shut up about Jake, which is obviously going to be an issue for him at the swap or merge and I know the viewers can't wait for that reunion. He needs to tone it down a bit if he wants people to stick by him.
3. Duke: This guy legit just stumbled upon his alliance by being a bro and having Jordan there man crushing over him. He was M.I.A. all weekend, took an hour to complete his puzzle, and still found himself in the majority. If he's smart, he's going to hide behind Jordan and make it farther than him.
4. Kaylee: We LOVE to watch Kaylee play this game. And while the majority alliance keeps talking smack about Kaylee, they aren't getting rid of her before Sean or Brian, which means she's making it to the swap at least.
5. Brian: Yes, I think Brian is in a better position than Sean. Jordan, who thinks he's calling the shots wants to get rid of Sean before Brian, and I dont see Jennifer or Duke caring enough to say no. Brian has a strategy, he just isn't executing it right. He wants to lay low and not talk game before they have to go to tribal, but he's also not making the connections he needs nor situating himself correctly for when they do go to tribal. Even Jennifer told him he needed to be more talkative and engaging with the tribe, and he did nothing with that. Brian is the only one with a bird cage in hand, apart from Jennifer, so he could get the idol before Jennifer - that would be a twist.
6. Sean: I love Sean. He's really funny, strategic, and smart, I would ally with someone like him. Unfortunately, he is allying himself with Kaylee, and that is his biggest downfall. Jordan dislikes him for that and will make him the first boot of the tribe. Jordan is so concerned that Sean and Kaylee are scheming behind his back. If Sean can't get in with the Jordan/Duke/Jennifer crowd, he's done.
CABRERA
1. Logan: This guy holds all the information in Cabrera. Jake S told him right away about his extra vote, April told him about her idol right away, and Jenn told her about Bodhi's slip up with the chat right away. Everyone is coming to Logan with the information, and he is holding it in. He doesnt need a secret power, information is power in this game, and he has it. He is Jake S' number 1, April's number 1, and Jenn's number 1, and he isn't cocky about it. He is calm and collected. Im here for Logan all the way.
2. April: She came up with a solid strategy for the birds and was rewarded with an immunity idol. She did tell Logan, but he hasn't told anyone, and she is his number one, so I think she's good for now. She also has Jake S in her alliance. Jake S loves that she's gay and their "gay bond." Both Logan and April have Jake S as their meat shield and they should be able to use that to their advantage. She is also tight with Jenn since they are both the only girls on the tribe. If April keeps playing smart, she has a shot at the money.
3. Jake S.: Very strategic, but messy player that stumbled upon the Logan and April alliance. He is so charismatic, with a great smile, so obviously the newbies want to play with him. I don't think he would have been in this spot if he had stuck with Bodhi. Thankfully for him, April and Logan, being newbies and all, really took to him and want to play with him. He needs to make sure they stay loyal to him so he can advance in this game and meet his arch nemesis Jordan at the merge.
4. Jenn: No idea how she is still here. She should have been the newbies and Jake's first target. They will regret this when she makes it to the final 5. I think if she gets in with Logan and April, they might just replace Jake with her. I can already see it happening.
5. Bodhi: Bodhi started the game on the right foot, but the long round really cost him a lot. Everyone started to see how charismatic he is and how much of a threat he is. Jake S, April, and Logan were already talking today about how to get rid of Bodhi next and they hadn't even voted off Jake B yet. Even his bro Jake S, who has a huge crush on him, is already ready to get rid of Bodhi - that's not good. Bodhi also sketched people out by saying he was going to go bird watching, and then not going. For some reason, this really bothered the top 3 Cabrera people.
2. April: She came up with a solid strategy for the birds and was rewarded with an immunity idol. She did tell Logan, but he hasn't told anyone, and she is his number one, so I think she's good for now. She also has Jake S in her alliance. Jake S loves that she's gay and their "gay bond." Both Logan and April have Jake S as their meat shield and they should be able to use that to their advantage. She is also tight with Jenn since they are both the only girls on the tribe. If April keeps playing smart, she has a shot at the money.
3. Jake S.: Very strategic, but messy player that stumbled upon the Logan and April alliance. He is so charismatic, with a great smile, so obviously the newbies want to play with him. I don't think he would have been in this spot if he had stuck with Bodhi. Thankfully for him, April and Logan, being newbies and all, really took to him and want to play with him. He needs to make sure they stay loyal to him so he can advance in this game and meet his arch nemesis Jordan at the merge.
4. Jenn: No idea how she is still here. She should have been the newbies and Jake's first target. They will regret this when she makes it to the final 5. I think if she gets in with Logan and April, they might just replace Jake with her. I can already see it happening.
5. Bodhi: Bodhi started the game on the right foot, but the long round really cost him a lot. Everyone started to see how charismatic he is and how much of a threat he is. Jake S, April, and Logan were already talking today about how to get rid of Bodhi next and they hadn't even voted off Jake B yet. Even his bro Jake S, who has a huge crush on him, is already ready to get rid of Bodhi - that's not good. Bodhi also sketched people out by saying he was going to go bird watching, and then not going. For some reason, this really bothered the top 3 Cabrera people.