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Post by jake on Jul 27, 2019 17:59:31 GMT
Well, that went exactly as planned. Listen, I recognize that losing immunity was a huge gamble. But this is a numbers game, and getting rid of Lamont and keeping those I want to work with may be a game-changer for me. If that's the case, it was well worth the risk.
Merge is going to be an all out frenzy, and in my opinion the next 2 tribal councils will determine how most of the chips are going to fall for the rest of the game. And it's not just a David/Jenn vs Jake/April situation here -- I completely recognize that Sean/Jennifer have a lot of game and could pull together the numbers. For now, I need to work with Sean as long as I can until I know I have the numbers in my corner.
If it turns out April, Logan, Brian, and Jeff are in my corner, and I can keep a few of these relationships subtle, then I see a path to the end for me. But with nests all over the place, a huge target on my back, and many great players left in the game, who knows what the merge will bring when if finally happens.
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Post by jake on Jul 28, 2019 6:47:23 GMT
Ugh...Jenn reached out and apologized and it doesn’t help that I still have a soft spot for her and it makes things more complicated !!Djskdjeijdhfkshfww!
I’m going to need everyone to still believe she’s near the top of my target list but I might end up needing her in the next round if I make it to that point.
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Post by jake on Jul 28, 2019 20:56:05 GMT
So, still early, but I see the merged tribe breaking down into three groups: - Myself, April, and Logan
- Jenn, David, Ashley, and Jeff
- OG Palma (Brian, Sean, Duke, and Jennifer)
Jenn From and David have reached out for a truce, which I'm obviously fine with but reminded them both that it serves us well to keep up the perception of being enemies. Both have indicated that Jennifer from OG Palma is a threat, without directly saying she needs to be taken out first. They are very clearly working together,especially since Logan told me there was no real "pineapple" backup target during that crazy tribal council, but both Jenn and David are trying to feed me a story about April being "pineapple" and them trying to switch the target and save me. Ha...okay then. I actually don't care, we're in the stage where all of us will be feeding small lies to each other and you gotta pick and choose your battles. Doesn't bother me they're telling a small lie to get me on their side.
Truthfully, OG Palma is a huge threat, given they have 2 powers and are sitting on 5 nests. There is absolutely no way we can let all 4 make it to Final 9, given they have these powers that they could easily activate and make up half of Final 8 with 5 nests. Um...no thanks. Next!
Ideally for this first vote, April, Logan, and I will be sandwiched in the middle. Moving forward, however, it may be difficult for me to save both April and Logan at all times. But if we're lucky, we can ride the middle of the other 2 groups for as long as possible.
My true secret weapon, however, is an alliance between me, Jeff, and Brian. We thankfully touch all 3 of these groups, and if we coordinate information well enough we could easily get to the end.
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Post by jake on Jul 29, 2019 1:57:00 GMT
Fyi Lamont vote -- I now think Lamont voted me, someone from Drago or Palma voted Lamont, and was planning to use that vote to pin Logan as the next target. In that case, SO GLAD WE THREW THE IMMUNITY CHALLENGE!!!
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Post by jake on Jul 29, 2019 18:18:02 GMT
Hello hello hello! So everyone seems pretty on edge and no one is throwing out a name...yet. Expect that to change as soon as results of this challenge are announced. For me, there are three primary things swirling through my mind for this first merge vote: - Is it worth putting a fight for Jenn From?
- When do we deal with the Palma problem?
- How can I best hide my closest relationships?
Jenn F. vs David: Even though no one is saying a specific target's name to me at the moment, the writing is on the wall about who is now at the bottom of the tribe: Jenn F & David. As of now, the only other people that might have eyes on them are Jenn C and myself. Both Jenn F. and David have reached out to me since swap, and both have extended an olive branch (David is actually asking for a truce). I've told both that, for the time being, I'm going to have to play up the perception that I am against them, which might actually be best for both our games (it's definitely best for my game, I'm not actually sure it's best for their games). Unfortunately for Jenn, the other Jenn doesn't seem to like her very much, and Sean told me that David has already sold Jenn F. out to Jenn C. So, things aren't looking good for Jenn F. at the moment. So, how badly do I got out of my way to save Jenn F? I like Jenn, and I honestly would prefer David to go. But if I put up a fight to save Jenn, people are going to get suspicious. I've tried to be subtle here and there, such as telling Brian that taking out David would ensure Jeff is with us to the end. The con to keeping Jenn, however, is that leaves 4 OG Cabrera in the game, which round by round will paint a bigger target on all of our backs. The pros? I personally love Jenn, but her social game isn't the greatest. Therefore, she would be an easy target later on. Plus, why not keep the Jenn v Jenn dynamic and take the heat off myself? We'll see how the chips fall (could be someone else entirely), but now is not the time for me to draw attention to myself. The Palma Problem: Both Jenn F. and David highlighted that Jenn C. is a very good social player with close relationships throughout the game. Big picture, I'm well aware of the threat Palma will become if left unchecked. If all 4 make it to top 9, they have the powers to determine the outcome of that vote, make up half of top 8, all while sitting on 5 nests between them. Oh, and Brian now has a clue for an advantage. So is now the time to pull the trigger on Palma? My gut is telling me to let them slide this round, because they will be more of an urgent problem next round and could guarantee me and my allies an easier path to top 9. I also sense a crack in Palma: I think Brian and Jenn C. are considering blindsiding Sean sooner rather than later. This particular piece of information could be very powerful if I play my cards right, and this crack in the group could turn into an obliteration if I can take advantage of April's newly close relationship with Sean, and mine with Brian. But for this round, consider me one of Palma's biggest cheerleaders. Go team go! Team Bermuda: There's sort of a gentlemen's agreement between me, Brian, and Jeff to keep the target off each other and get to the end. But we all obviously have different ideas of what the path to the end will look like, and understand the high likelihood of our other close allies leaving before us. That said, I want Logan and April to stay as long as possible. Now that I learned Logan put up a fight for me before the combined tribal vote, I think now more than ever we appear as a trio (I am so paranoid the cannons will turn toward us this round for this reason, btw). If none of us are options for this first vote, I think the best thing we could do is vote different ways. Not only would we seem fractured, but the "other side" of the tribe might appear larger than it actually is. Plus this might be a chance for Logan to earn the trust of others, and give us more access to information. I'm trying to set up him and Jeff on an alliance date to facilitate this happening. Well, we'll see what happens! I could easily be the target and easily get out this round, so I better get back to this challenge. Seeya!
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Post by jake on Jul 30, 2019 2:08:47 GMT
Me, now looking into a mirror:
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Post by jake on Jul 30, 2019 15:08:56 GMT
So Palma is currently being a shit show, but I'd rather keep a shit show then suddenly be a part of the only original tribe left with 4 remaining players. All it would take is for Jenn F. to win immunity again and it'll easily be myself, April, or Logan to get the boot in the next round.
If I had it my way, the 4 Palma can keep it together this round, Cabrera splits our vote evenly, and it becomes a 6 - 5 for David and Jenn/Duke/Sean (pick a name). We let Palma self-implode the next round and hopefully can play the role of a divided tribe. If it's a double next round, even better -- just knock out 2 Palma in a row.
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