|
Post by benjimcfly on Aug 5, 2019 20:27:19 GMT
This is the round where we test Jake's limits.
It isn't lost on Duke, Ashley, Jeff and Brian that there are four original Cabrera left in this game. Brian, Ashley and Duke are pushing that a Cabrera goes home.
Logan is still covertly working with Jake. Ashley is investing in Logan big time. However, last night, Ashley has said to Duke that April is loyal to Jake and will always vote with him. She had mentioned that Jenn would most likely vote to get rid of April as it would preserve her game. Logan also balked at the idea of April going, which is what tipped Ashley off.
Jake has spread himself THIN this round with his alliances with everyone. Since no one is comparing notes, Duke thinks that Jake is on the bottom with him. Ashley likes him and trusts him. Jenn has no one else who really banters or talks game with her. Brian and Jake have a great balance of fun side conversation and game talk.
I think the worst case scenario for Jake (crazy enough) is if Jenn doesn't win immunity. Reasoning: -Jake (and Logan/April/Brian) knows that Jenn has the idol. -Ashley and Duke have been pushing to get rid of Jenn if she doesn't win immunity. -Jake isn't dumb enough to throw a vote at her, knowing she has a hidden idol. -If Jake decides to vote Jenn and let Logan/April vote someone else, it will look far too orchestrated, and will complicate a lot of trust.
Plus, there is the whole mix of Ashley/Duke/Jenn/Jeff/(??Brian??) vote for April.
Either way, I expect Jake to be lying a lot more after this vote, and I don't think he can explain any further, since Duke and Ashley think he's on bottom. This round will be Jake's win or lose moment.
|
|
ricky
Administrator
Posts: 270
|
Post by ricky on Aug 5, 2019 20:41:40 GMT
This is the round where we test Jake's limits. It isn't lost on Duke, Ashley, Jeff and Brian that there are four original Cabrera left in this game. Brian, Ashley and Duke are pushing that a Cabrera goes home. Logan is still covertly working with Jake. Ashley is investing in Logan big time. However, last night, Ashley has said to Duke that April is loyal to Jake and will always vote with him. She had mentioned that Jenn would most likely vote to get rid of April as it would preserve her game. Logan also balked at the idea of April going, which is what tipped Ashley off. Jake has spread himself THIN this round with his alliances with everyone. Since no one is comparing notes, Duke thinks that Jake is on the bottom with him. Ashley likes him and trusts him. Jenn has no one else who really banters or talks game with her. Brian and Jake have a great balance of fun side conversation and game talk. I think the worst case scenario for Jake (crazy enough) is if Jenn doesn't win immunity. Reasoning: -Jake (and Logan/April/Brian) knows that Jenn has the idol. -Ashley and Duke have been pushing to get rid of Jenn if she doesn't win immunity. -Jake isn't dumb enough to throw a vote at her, knowing she has a hidden idol. -If Jake decides to vote Jenn and let Logan/April vote someone else, it will look far too orchestrated, and will complicate a lot of trust. Plus, there is the whole mix of Ashley/Duke/Jenn/Jeff/(??Brian??) vote for April. Either way, I expect Jake to be lying a lot more after this vote, and I don't think he can explain any further, since Duke and Ashley think he's on bottom. This round will be Jake's win or lose moment. I respectfully disagree. Worst case scenario for Jake is Jenn F winning immunity cause then he can't throw his vote to Jenn F and has to vote for someone who doesn't have an idol protecting them. See, if Jenn F does not win immunity, she is definitely going to play her idol. So it is easy for Jake to save face with everyone, including Jenn F, by voting for her. He will just tell her he's only voting for her b/c she has the idol and knows she wont go home and that way he can keep appearances that they aren't close. He will most likely try to get her to idol Ashley, but she will most likely want to idol Brian out. On the other hand, if Jenn F wins immunity, then he HAS to vote against someone he has an alliance with that does not have an idol protecting them which will expose him and some one will feel like Jake backstabbed them. No one will feel betrayed by Jake if he votes Jenn F. this round, not even Jenn F.
|
|
ricky
Administrator
Posts: 270
|
Post by ricky on Aug 5, 2019 21:09:36 GMT
Ranking based on how deep in Jake's pockets they are: (8 deepest, 1 barely there) 8. APRIL & LOGAN: I was really excited about Logan the first few rounds but he basically is surrendering his game to Jake now. Interesting if he ends up being the Josh to Jake's Paul (bb19). April who? She's just an extension of Jake's game right now. Logan at least has Ashley thinking she's in with him and no one knows Jake and Logan are tight except April. 7. DUKE: With Sean and Jenn C going home on the same night, Duke had to turn to someone, and Jake's charm blinded him right away. He didn't even give it a second thought. Duke thinks Jake is on the outs with him... wow. Both Jake and Brian warned Duke a few minutes before the Sean vote that Sean was the target, but somehow he thought Brian was sketchy because he warned him, but thought Jake was trying to help him. Annoying AF. 6. BRIAN: I was VERY excited for Brian after the David vote when he chose to partner up with Ashley right away and then when he worked his ass off to get rid of Sean and Jenn C. on the same night. He was talking with Ashley a lot and I really thought they would get close and work together, but then, after a great conversation between Ash and Brian, it didn't take Brian more than a minute to report everything Ashley said to Jake... that's when my hope died. He's no April/Logan/Duke, but he's still in Jake's pocket, and I HATE that. 5. JEFF: While Jeff keeps saying Jake is his number one, Jeff has shown that he will shift when he needs to. See his Ashley and Lamont vote, and never fighting the David vote. He knows what he needs to do to survive each round, and while he might not go after Jake, if things turn on Jake, he will abandon ship, as opposed to April, Logan, and Duke who will do anything to save Jake. 3. ASHLEY: She is alone in this game, again , but while she is working with Jake, she has mentioned multiple times in her confessionals that she does not fully trust him. It will take Jake one tiny slip up for her to confirm her fears about Jake and go against him. 1. JENN F: Jenn F is the one most aware of Jake's gameplay, and she's fine with it for now. She has a big target on her back, so why not work with the one person who will lend you a hand. Plus, she really doesnt care who she is in the end with. However, unfortunately, Jake wants her in the jury for that same reason, she's aware of his gameplay and needs someone to advocate for him in the jury.
|
|
ricky
Administrator
Posts: 270
|
Post by ricky on Aug 6, 2019 1:42:29 GMT
Annoyed with April saying Brian is sketchy for warning Duke about the Sean vote when SHE DID THE SAME THING. April warned Duke that he was David/Ashley/Jenn F's target at the last minute the round David went home knowing they didnt have the votes to get Duke out - she was just working him. So sit down Ms. April.
|
|
Jay
Administrator
Posts: 86
|
Post by Jay on Aug 6, 2019 3:18:02 GMT
Ashley winning immunity was awesome. She has been byyyyy far my favorite player this season to watch
|
|
|
Post by scott on Aug 6, 2019 3:38:03 GMT
Ashley winning immunity was awesome. She has been byyyyy far my favorite player this season to watch Same. Obvi.
|
|
|
Post by scott on Aug 6, 2019 14:04:43 GMT
I am just sitting here PRAYING to the survivor gods that Jenn has Jake clocked before I start watching this video. Its been 5 minutes.... still too nervous to press play.
|
|
ricky
Administrator
Posts: 270
|
Post by ricky on Aug 6, 2019 15:04:41 GMT
Most interesting Final 3 scenarios for this season would be a variation of these four players:
Jake Ashley Jenn F Brian
|
|